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The Cashless Society Is a Creepy Fantasy (bloomberg.com)
57 points by kushti on Oct 18, 2016 | hide | past | favorite | 56 comments


Having no cash is the authoritarian's fantasy.

When every transaction is trackable, everything is taxable and able to be fed into big data.

"Sorry, sir, we can't sell you health insurance. Our records show that you've been purchasing too much alcohol."

"Excuse me sir, we're from the local police. We're concerned that you've recently bought 500 rounds of 22lr ammunition (and that's a perfectly reasonable amount). Mind coming down to the station and answering some questions?"

Edit:

And of course, the ever popular.

"Hey, we noticed you bought a used car. Based on your finances you shouldn't have been able to afford it, according to our calculations, unless you've been getting paid without notifying us. We already know what you spend and how you spend it, and how much money you make. You're going to prison for tax fraud."


It's incredible how ignorant some folks can be when it comes to why cash is still considered king today. For one, half of all small transactions (less than $50) are made in cash.

OH the other day in Palo Alto: "Cash will no longer be a thing in 5 years."

Sorry, we are still roughly 200 years away from achieving this authoritarian fantasy, if we are to consider the current rate of decline of payments made in cash. I wish folks would leave their suburban bubble for once and talk with real people across America, especially those living at the bottom of the pyramid.


The interesting thing is, this has to be adopted internationally.

If RMB or Euros still exist in paper form, but the USD doesn't, or any combination thereof, the economies will quickly shift to taking foreign currency as a matter of course.

If you're selling tacos or hot dogs on a street corner, you're not really caring what kind of money you're taking in, as long as it's good and honored by the people you owe money to.

Obviously for large transactions, there will be currency controls (and there already are). But for small day to day stuff? Like restaurants and dealing with food suppliers? Or hell, even hiring the neighbor's kid to shovel out snow or mow your lawn.

As long as there's some form of cash, that's what they'll use.


In the Netherlands, I use cash for none of those. Well, for young kids. And _some_ street corner food, rarely.

The thing is that once almost everything is cashless, using cash for something becomes a burden. You need to get some from an ATM, pay with it, then you have change to carry with you. I don't have a wallet with space for cash anymore, so it's loose change in pocket, that I probably won't use for weeks. If there is a food stall around that does take cards, I go there.

In fact I'd probably do a bank transfer to the kid's father's account, and let them settle it with the kid's allowance or so.


Sure. In the US, at least where I live, a lot of smaller restaurants don't take cards, as well as a lot of smaller non-chain neighborhood bars.

If you're paying cashless, the credit card processor and company is skimming a small percentage off the tips. With the razor margins in the hospitality/food industry, that 3% adds up to maybe your entire profit margin.


In the Netherlands credit cards also take a percentage like that, and that's why they're not accepted everywhere.

But Maestro and VPAY debit cards have a flat fee of something like 5 cents per transaction, less if your company does many.


if we are to consider the current rate of decline of payments made in cash

And why would we do that, in this age of technological acceleration?


Technology will continue to have a material impact on the amount of cash in circulation, of course. The evolution of money is fascinating to watch, though I believe it is important to consider that not everyone will be able to participate in this fantasy we dream of.

Open-loop prepaid cards have helped eliminate paper transfer channels to a degree (which is a positive step in the right direction) but we cannot ignore the 2.5B people on this planet who do not have access to modern financial services at all. For the rural farmer in Southeast Asia, cash is all he/she knows.


Only if you consider cryptocurrency "cash". Otherwise, plenty of people are already living exclusively on bitcoin today with many benefits and few of the scare mongering issues. I can't imagine the masses are still 2 whole generations from catching up, I'd think about 10 years would be enough.


> Otherwise, plenty of people are already living exclusively on bitcoin today

Citation needed? This seems hard to believe unless "plenty of people" is in the ballpark of maybe a dozen.


Isn't bitcoin limited to 10 transactions a second, roughly?

We're hitting some real limitations with cryptocurrency, if the second gen ones are better, good on them, let me know.

If I'm trying to pay for breakfast in a jook shop in Hong Kong, you better believe that it's going to be cash, not something the shop owner has to get online to accept.


Bitcoin has exactly the same problems as any other cashless interaction.

It's where my money is, but it's not the next cash.


I find it a bit silly that "catching tax fraud" is the main marker of the authoritarian. And then some jump to bitcoin, which is by definition perfectly auditable, as a decentralised ledger.

Even in a cashless society, governments (well some, anyways) still require warrants to search business records, to wiretap, to follow you around.

Inversely, even in cashful societies tracking all of this is still pretty easy. You register car purchases through the state. Your employer files taxes.

This is why a strong, independent judiciary is important!


I don't think that's the main marker of the authoritarian, and that's a fairly reductive way to think about it.

Put it another way, what can be tracked should be tracked is the way we should be thinking about authoritarians.

If there exists a database where all transactions can be monitored and datamined, they will be monitored and datamined in the name of national security, terrorism, or money laundering.

Plus, I don't even want to think about private companies. "Sorry sir, unless you give us the right to search your financial records for suspicious transactions, we're not giving you car insurance or a mortgage. Or a job."


But this is why privacy laws are so big in the EU, sharing such data with other companies leads to huge fines.


"We've used data from your employer's requirement to register you as a foreign employee, and the fact that you've been shopping at B&Q recently, as probable cause for a broad-reaching search warrant against everywhere you spend time - your home, work, mosque, social clubs, and your best friend's house. At the same time, we're detaining you under the Terrorism Act on suspicion of materially aiding a terrorist operation."

That should be a lot scarier than "they're taking our guns away" or the obvious continuation of capitalism. Many countries across the EU, and the US, have politicians with broad support who are promoting outright fascism. It's not very difficult to see where this road goes for members of our least accepted minorities.


Can you name a few countries in the EU where politicians advocating for what you describe get broad support?


I mean. I've yet to hear for anyone seriously calling for Theresa May's dismissal and a re-election, and her Government has asked for exactly that - companies to report on their foreign workers to the Government. She has overrode the Home Secretary on whether this data would be made (partially) public with companies "named and shamed", but has stated since that she would still like the reporting to happen.

On the other side of the Channel, the National Front, a far-right party with ties in its leadership to neo-nazi ideology and Holocaust denial, is showing in the polls as likely to win the first round of voting in next year's Presidential elections. While I don't follow French politics with any great detail, I do understand that they have policies of turning a blind eye to hate crime towards Muslim people and making life difficult for Muslim people and those who associate with them. Which is, IMHO, a pretty surefire way of further pushing Muslim people into secret mosques run by radicals.

Across Europe, the far right is rising with similar proposed policies - shut Muslims out of society, label them, make it mandatory to report on their actions, make it difficult to interact with them.


I think this concept is predicated upon the culture of a government.

Australia has fully adopted contactless cards instead of cash, as others have said. [0]

However, there is a clear cut tax for transactions, GST, and though there are no rights guaranteed by the Constitution, there is a precedent where police can be called out for stalking and harassment. [1].

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12740677

[1] http://mobile.abc.net.au/news/2016-08-30/police-officer-invo...


Not a fantasy. In Australia contactless payment using smart cards is now everywhere, even in the small news outlets, food stalls and coffee shops. I bought lunch at a small shop just a minute ago with one.

For things like buying second hand cards we also have a pretty good online direct deposit system where you can just transfer money online.

Cash is losing the war here, check out the graph in the following article showing the dwindling usage of cash.

http://www.heraldsun.com.au/business/why-our-looming-cashles...


Fellow Australian here, basically completely cashless. Only withdraw cash if I have an immediate reason.


Many scandinavian countries are also 'round there. Icelanders seem to use card to pay for a pack of gum, cash is a tourist thing. The cash wankery seems to be a pretty uniquely american thing.


Can't see the graph due to subscriber begging interstitial that redirects to the homepage :/

In New Zealand I haven't used cash since 2002 except for pop up stalls, and even those take cards these days. I've never used or possessed a cheque book. I did get paid by cheque for my first real job, but it's been direct credit since 2004.


Except the occasional phó shops that still refuse to use eftpos for some unknown reason. They're the bane of my life - I feel like Viet but have to walk to Woolies to draw cash :S


When I was living in the bay area I used cash only very rarely, at farmer's markets or toll booths. Everything else was credit card.


Same in Japan! I use my suica card everywhere I can


"Having no cash is the authoritarian's fantasy."

That's a giant step in logic that I can't understand yet. How come more cashless societies seem less authoritarian then ones that societies that use cash? E.g. Britain compared to Russia. Sweden is one of the most cashless societies and they seem far from expressing authoritarian traits. I bought a greg's using a contactless card and I haven't felt this strange grip of authoritarian fear. I guess it is better to say

"Having no cash means you can speculate a authoritarian's fantasy easier"


> Sweden is one of the most cashless societies and they seem far from expressing authoritarian traits.

I believe this is because of a critical fact about scandinavian countries:

People trust the government, and by exchange, the government makes themselves trustworthy to the people.

It seems to me that people in the US has a deep distrust for the government. This may be because the government there is less trustworthy to start with, but I think it also goes the other way around. It creates an "us vs them" mentality which makes politicians and government workers have less respect for the people they serve.

I do agree with some of the points of the OP though. We shouldn't need some bank AND credit card company to stand between us and payments to other people and the government. Before we make the switch to cashless, we should have some kind of cryptocurrency. I don't care if it's created by the government, and that new currency is injected by them according to their monetary policy. I don't care if the government can see how much I have in that currency, as long as only they can. All I care about is being able to settle payments without being dependent on a bunch of private, opaque bank and payment companies, and their opaque infrastructure.


You have a point but let me make a counter -- it's the subordinate who must prove their trustworthiness to the superior. Which in your view, seems to be the people and their government, respectively.

If you had said, "The government acts in a trustworthy manner, and the people, in turn, trust their government", then our viewpoints would be in alignment.


It only doesn't feel authoritarian to a point where a bank closes your bank account without specifying a reason, and you find that you can't get a bank account and a card anywhere else, which also means that even if you work and have cash, you are excluded from 90% of the business living in a society requires.


One reason most Swedes are laid back about cash is the Swedish banking laws, especially what is called 'insättningsgarantin', a deposit guarantee law.

The gist of that law is that in Sweden a bank is not allowed to close your account, or disallow you to open one except in very specific circumstances. Essentially you have to either use your bank account for something illegal, or lie to the bank. I've never once read about a case where a bank has closed the account of anyone, while it still probably happens, it's not something anyone is afraid of.


Well, that's something that is missing from the UK law - there should be some sort of guarantee that everyone will have access to at least basic banking services. At the moment banks are at liberty to close any account for any reason.


It reduces the number of entities a government needs to control or coerce (i.e. banks), in order to have some effect on the general population (e.g. expropriation). I'd imagine that net savers in Cyprus, the people least responsible for the financial collapse in 2007, would feel much the same way.


"I bought a greg's using a contactless card and I haven't felt this strange grip of authoritarian fear". What's that - QED?


> The crime-fighting case against cash is overstated. Last year, a risk assessment of money laundering and terrorist financing conducted by the U.K. government found that regulated institutions such as banks (like HSBC) and accountancy service providers (like the Panamanian tax-shelter specialist Mossack Fonseca) posed the highest risk of facilitating the illicit storage or movement of funds. Cash came in a close third, but if we’re going to cite unlawful transactions as a rationale for banning cash, it only makes sense to ban banks and accounting firms first.

This is specious logic. Stricter regulations on banking and accounting are being introduced, and even if they weren't, that wouldn't be an argument for doing nothing about cash.

And yeah, america-centric article is america-centric. The author should try living in a place with low cash use for a while. Their concerns are real, but unlikely to carry much weight with the public when held up against a) the inconvenience of cash and b) the reality that it's mainly used not by valiant freedom fighters but by common criminals.


Currently Sweden is on a race to be first cashless society: many shops completely stopped accepting cash (many also started to use iZettle [1]), people usually simply don't carry cash with them, and if it happens that you need to send money to other person: Swish [2] is to the rescue, which is direct bank-to-bank money transfer system for small amounts.

On other hand everything is traceable, you can call tax office and ask who is get paid what, if you want to know where the person lives: just hitta.se them by name, you will also get avg income for household there.

- [1] https://www.izettle.com/ - [2] https://www.getswish.se/


At flea-markets, i think about 90% of all transactions are non-cash in Sweden. It's nearly all Swish. Swish is amazing - it's mobile payments supported by all the banks with no transaction cost. You type in somebody's phone number, the amount to give them, then authenticate it with your pin code (using a cert issued by your bank - basically another app).


I cash ever dissappears there will be other things of value that can be traded.


This already happens. On the estate I grew up the base currencies people traded with were sexual favours, soft drugs, and stolen bicycles.


Cash sucks. One of the annoyances of having just moved from SV to Munich is that credit cards are often not accepted and you need to use cash. In the bay area, I used cash only very rarely, and it was glorious.


> One of the annoyances of having just moved from SV to Munich is that credit cards are often not accepted and you need to use cash.

The benefit is lower prices. Credit cards have high transaction fees, and the contracts generally prohibit the merchant from adding those to the cost of the transaction. So everyone, regardless of payment method, pays higher prices if the store accepts credit cards.


Handling cash has its own logistical overhead, though, so this is debatable.


In my opinion, a cashless society would make some cryptocurrencies like Monero, which enforces privacy, anonimity and fungibility, take off and start to spread its adoption more broadly.


Keep in mind a completely trackable currency would require more creativity in funding political "dirty tricks" a la Nixon and his (spiritual) successors.


In the UK. I never carry cash on me. Hell, you can't even USE cash anymore on public transport here in London.


Clearly this guy hasn't heard of something called precious metals, art, diamonds, blah blah blah


For reasons to tired too explain, I've been without a bank account (and therefore also credit/debit card) for a couple of months.

Nightmare. And scary as hell. And when it's not "official" c/d cards, its the shop points or the we're-not-a-bank-honest-guv quasi-debit-cards; it's impossible to catch a bus in London now without a tracking device^W^Woyster card.

Luckily for me I've only returned to this decadent backwater for a brief period before I head back to the glorious freedom (for once not a sarcasm in sight) of the ex-USSR. I feel disgusted that I had to write that.

Edit: And I think I'd like to add that despite the pain, I don't plan on getting any kind of card and may end up regaining a bank account but only as another means of converting my bitcoin to whatever the locals call cash.

Edit 2: And another thing. I tried to book a driving test in the UK. Wasn't able to do it online, even to book and pay later, without using a (non-government) bank account and (foreign) clearing house. Apparently a postal method is available. Our governments themselves are starting to require banks and credit/debit in order to interact with them.


In the United States, we're much more evolved: we don't just exclude people from government services, we also use innovative free market solutions to extract as much money from the "unbanked" as possible.

First, corporations only pay in direct deposit, check, or debit card. Of those three, only checks and debit cards can be used by the unbanked.

Secondly, while you can choose a check, the only method through which the unbanked can receive actual USD, you can't cash it very easily. However, the unbanked can't simply submit a photo of them through an app on their iPhone. They have to walk to "check cashing" businesses, which abound in our inner cities. These businesses exist by taking a cut of the paychecks of the people too poor to afford a proper bank.

Finally, there is the debit card option. Debit cards for pay were originally intended to eliminate predatory check cashing businesses. The cards were supposed to prevent the type of ridiculous costs imposed by check cashing businesses.

What occurred next was fairly predictable. Instead of a direct rate, companies charged small fees such as withdrawal fees, card replacement fees, and account fees, which accrue over time to roughly the same amount as going to the check cashers. Since the debit cards are often more convenient, many people choose that option, and the corporation takes the cut that used to go to the "unscrupulous" check cashers.

Later I'll tell you about bail bondsman and private prisons...


Regarding the bus: The system isn't perfect but the alternative is significant queues for counting change etc. I would suggest buying an Oyster card in cash and only topping it up in cash at corner shops etc.


Everywhere else in the UK you can still pay cash on buses. I'm slightly taken aback that London bus thinks cash is no longer worthy as every time I've been on a bus everyone pays cash or has weekly pass.

I pay cash nearly everywhere, card is for online only. I'll be a long way towards the back of the cashless adoption!


> I'm slightly taken aback that London bus thinks cash is no longer worthy as every time I've been on a bus everyone pays cash or has weekly pass.

Paying cash on the bus substantially slows down the bus. It makes sense to get rid of that transaction.


As a long-time passenger I'm OK with that, and I'd be even more OK with that if they remembered what customer fucking service was and brought back the conductors.

It's[+] my city and it can damn-well run the way I want it to. And that doesn't include 100% surveillance.

[+] Was, sadly. I like London. But it's shit.

Edit: Formatting.

Further edit: In fact I've lived in London most of my life and experience suggests a scenario which is distressingly common: Are you one of those cunts who tuts and sighs[ø] when a little old lady gets on the bus and takes (horror of horrors!) more than 10 seconds to pay her fare and find a seat? FUCK YOU. You don't deserve the air you breathe.

[ø] For those who live outside the M25, this is the London equivalent of a near-violent argument between strangers.


In Nottingham some buses allow cash but only exact change.


It's impossible. I just had a fight with a bus driver over this.

"Single to X please"

"No"

"I'll pay you, whether personally or your employer, an entire £10 (the fare's about £1.50) to take me to X"

"No"

"£20?"

"No. Go somewhere else (there was nowhere near this particular bus stop to buy one and I'd have missed that bus even if there was) and buy a card so we can follow you everywhere you go"

It's fucking scary. Or would be if I lived permanently in this shithole. Haha!

Recent events rather than persuading me to get bank account and card have entrenched my position not to get one. Things should not be like this and fuck any and everyone who's OK with it.


Is much of your angst directed at the pain one goes through opening a bank account in the UK?


That certainly doesn't help, but really it's just bureaucracy and you batton down the hatches and get it done.

Needing one, and it is really very close to need, is the concern. Interactions between me and my fellow citizens, or between me and my government (but I repeat myself), should not require a chaperone.




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