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For anyone downvoting this I'll expand what he said so you can understand it before reflex downvoting.

Nationstate backed fiat currencies require enormous amounts of energy waste in the form of standing armies and other tools of power. Compared to the energy Bitcoin uses to protect itself from attack or fraud this energy is very large.



Yes a nationstate does protect the value of it's money with a standing army but to imply the purpose is to protect the currency is false. The armed forces and stability of the country bring about the value of the currency, not the other way around.


Yes, because if cryptocurrencies became the standard, armies will become obsolete and Nation states will dissolve their Military programs. Makes sense.


Ha. That would be true if the only purpose an army was to stabilize the currency. The army/military of any nation does far more than that.


The implication now is that there'd be no standing armies or other, as you say, tools of power? Do you believe this?


Not sure where you are going with this, but yeah, Bitcoin does not have a standing army. It secures itself from attack by proof of work.


If your logic made any sense then only countries with standing armies could successfully issue their own currencies, but that's obviously not the case.


Ok, cool. How does that secure the rest of us?


It doesn't, Bitcoin is as safe as the security of the person who holds it. And as someone who had Bitcoin on Mt Gox, this is a moot point to argue.


The point is that the military that the person claimed should be counted in the energy expenditures related to the USD does far, far, far more than "protect the dollar", and even if we all moved to Bitcoin, we'd still have to have the military.


The government's monopoly of force and the stability of its currency are not strongly correlated. A country like Somalia had a stable currency despite the fact that its notional government barely exerted any power beyond the walls of its offices, and a country like Zimbabwe has seen its currency lose any value despite the government lacking any reasonable prospect of invasion and the military/security forces preventing any reasonable prospect of internal rebellion.

If anything, a powerful standing army is more likely to result in failure of fiat currency (hyperinflation)--hyperinflation is fundamentally caused by a government pursuing really bad economic policies to the detriment of the economy, and the failing economy will tend to precipitate an internal (potentially violent) rebellion if there is space to do so.


Armies are to protect people and national interests, not currency. I'd love to here more about your vision of a future without military, though.


wut?

nations will continue regardless of currency.

nations will always have different levels of resources.

nations will need to defend those resources.

this has nothing to do with electricity used in current electronic financial transactions.

bitcoin and it's ilk are wildly fantastically inefficient.


Also one could argue the intrinsic value of Bitcoin is it's computing power, as that is worth something.


"Value" implies you can retrieve that work back out of it. Otherwise, it is a cost.

Seeing as how I can't retrieve the computing power back out of Bitcoin that was mined, it is a cost.


Well, couldn't you actually sell the coin in exchange for computing power?


That's just buying computing power like you would do with USD.


My point is: it boils down to someone putting power into something which then conserves that power (and can be exchanged for something else).

Another example of this is gold. To extract it out of the ground, you need to invest energy. That energy is then "stored" in the gold. You can release it by selling it for USD, then purchasing service from someone and so on.

I think it's hard to argue that the energy you put into it is lost even if that seems unintuitive at first glance.

The only currencies which exhibit that feature (no energy put in, hence no real intrinsic value) are fiat currencies, which come with their own set of unique issues.


I never said the energy is lost. I'm saying I, the owner, cannot extract it back out. This is also true for gold-backed currency, but USD, among others, hasn't been backed by gold for some time now.

My understanding is that a currency needs to be backed by something intrinsically (seen as) valuable as it goes through the bootstrapping process. Once it is generally accepted, it can stand on its own (at least for a while).

No matter how big Bitcoin is, it can never get off of its "gold standard" -- i.e. the computing power required to mine it.

On its own, this would be fine, but the parallels break down very quickly when we are talking about new *coins coming out at a MUCH higher velocity than traditional currencies.


Well, I think the comparison to gold holds to a high degree. Let's take alts out of the equation for now. Bitcoin requires energy to be mined and transferred. Same is true for gold. I'd say Bitcoin's and gold's intrinsic value hence is energy. The parallels only break down at the point where you could get more gold after you've mined all of it on earth (e.g. by mining an asteroid) while for Bitcoin there's a hard limit which cannot be exceeded by design.

Maybe I misunderstand your issue about getting the energy back out. For me it's quite clear that you can get it out, simply by exchanging it for something else that provides you with that energy.

Fiat currencies tend to devalue to a point where there's literally nothing left of the energy that it originally represented. E.g. the USD devalued by more than 96% since 1913. In my point of view, this really is the currency which you can't extract the energy back out of — with a government guarantee.


When I say "getting the energy back out", I do not mean exchanging it for something equivalent. I mean actually doing something with Bitcoin other than exchanging it for something else. It is intentionally a silly proposition.

I think Ethereum is a step in the right direction compared to Bitcoin since it is backed by usable computation, but it is still overpriced.


Gold to Bitcoin analogies are false marketing.

BTC inflation is currently higher than USD

Historically, Bitcoin started off as a hyperinflationary mint in order to produce the supply rapidly before the general public would be able to access the production methods.

Aprox 4.11% of Bitcoin users (addresses) control 96.53% of all bitcoins in circulation. Also there's a chance that something will make Bitcoin obsolete in the near future - immediately destroying the trade value of Bitcoin, either a new cryptocurrency, a quantum computer or cryptographic breakthrough that would allow theft of BTC private keys or more predictably a bug like what recently happened in the main Bitcoin core wallet client software which allowed a user to inflate the supply of Bitcoins past 21 million and mint more BTC for free.

Here’s an explanation on how the Bitcoin market differs vastly from Gold speculation markets:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6r04gfWfRkE


I am familiar with the arguments of Jim Rickards, Peter Schiff and other goldbugs regarding cryptos. They are generally saying that crypto is doomed and should be abandoned. They continuously brought up fraud and money laundering until they recently realized that blockchains make it easier to track down transactions — not harder.

While I respect these people for their great expertise on the general economy, I don't agree with their take on crypto. They obviously misunderstand its nature and, to be frank, during the crypto boom they sometimes appeared to be a bit threatened by the rise of crypto (one of their core businesses is — you guessed it — gold).

With regard to your other points:

* Yes, you can create new altcoins out of thin air, but do you really think that will be possible forever? There are strong network effects at play and — as with any other market — there will be winners and losers. So far Bitcoin has oscillated around the 50% dominance mark. I don't see that changing in the near future. Saying that you can indefinitely create new alts is like saying that you can create unlimited Amazon clones. While technically true, this does not work in reality.

* Yes, inflation is built into Bitcoin, but in contrast to fiat it will not go on forever. Eventually it's a deflationary currency.

* According to the NYT the richest 1% in the US hold more wealth than the "bottom" 90%. This pattern seems to have nothing to do with Bitcoin, although I'd personally wish it would look different.

* Yes, there might be fraud and maybe there are also severe bugs. But up to now, Bitcoin has survived all tests in the field and appears to be pretty stable. Probably more stable than most other pieces of software I have ever seen.




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