Currently in Germany it maybe works the other way around.
Last month around me it worked like this:
Big spikes in case were caused by a test-campaign around somebody who died (or was ill). So a trend in case might in fact be an old trend of death - and the burst in case might in fact be asymptomatic or mild cases not leading to any death.
When you try to fit the spikes of death and case things are strange. In Germany maybe case and death have completely detached from each other.
Currently there are a lot of corrections going on. Bavaria had a deathcount of -3 on Saturday. Maybe they are piling up to report a big spike soon, or they stopped someone from reporting nonsense? We will see...
Last month around me it worked like this: Big spikes in case were caused by a test-campaign around somebody who died (or was ill). So a trend in case might in fact be an old trend of death - and the burst in case might in fact be asymptomatic or mild cases not leading to any death.
When you try to fit the spikes of death and case things are strange. In Germany maybe case and death have completely detached from each other.
Currently there are a lot of corrections going on. Bavaria had a deathcount of -3 on Saturday. Maybe they are piling up to report a big spike soon, or they stopped someone from reporting nonsense? We will see...