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I think he underestimates how many Android early adopters are there. I'm sure there are at least a few million out there who would buy an Android tablet this year if given the chance for a good looking, high performance an well priced one.

The Xoom was too expensive. Asus Transformer has been hard to get so far. And Galaxy Tab may be arriving a little too late because a lot of people are already expecting Tegra 3 tablets, but I'm sure it will sell quite well, too.

However, I don't think Android tablets will make a big impact until the second wave starts, late this year - all the Tegra 3 tablets arriving, and Amazon is launching 2 tablets as well, and they'll push those heavily.

And ultimately, the price will help the most, probably. Once the big name manufacturers start making "mid-end" tablets under $300, I think marketshare for Android tablets will quickly rise.



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