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Until he publicly reckons with how he got it so wrong, and what he's changed about his reasoning process as a result, we should degrade our estimate of his ability to think through complex problems.


Why does he owe you something? Should he similarly find every other topic he's been wrong about and make sure to offer apologies and postmortems on his failures?

The dude works at Stripe, not someplace influencing government or health policies.


He doesn't owe me anything.

I'm just following his advice and reducing my confidence in his ability to reason about how the world works.




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