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No I don't agree with you. I think my comment is a reasonable statement of the situation. Is it a 100% correct statement that is absolutely categorically true? No, but most people who are not looking to be pedantic and win an Internet argument won't go looking to nitpick the details of my statement.

What most level headed people will do is understand that my statement is about how you can not reliably compare a group of people who are predisposed to enjoy a movie to a group of people who review almost every single movie that's released, regardless of their predisposition towards it. People are welcome to argue that and honestly I'd expect nothing less, but it's a basic statistical principle that I expect every single researcher I hire to be well familiar with and if they're not, then I make the choice to not work with them.

>you’d probably have less replies arguing with you here...

There is also a selection bias among the people who comment on HN and they too are not representative of how most of the community feels towards a topic. The people who want to nitpick the specific wording of my statement are certainly entitled to do so and will likely find something to nitpick regardless of how I framed my statement, but it's not a particularly interesting discussion to follow up on.



Sure, though I think the other implication from the difference stated is that critics have sampled randomly or more often and can therefore recognize derivative work where a target audience that shares a limited interest in film will almost uniformly perceive novelty. I think realizing something is a poor knock off is the basis of snobbery.. so it is strange not to accept that answer.


That's a very strong assumption to make, I could easily assume that most casual movie viewers watch the same derivative knock-off action/horror/comedy films over and over and over again without issue. You think Adam Sandler is the highest earning actor/producer because his audience perceives a great deal of depth novelty in his work?

The answer that requires the fewest assumptions and is consistent with almost all basic statistical analysis is that a group of people predisposed to like a movie will rate that movie higher than a group of people who watch movies regardless of their predisposition towards it.




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