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Are you suggesting the lottery should be changed so the expected value is higher than the ticket cost? How would that work?


The same way below market rate public housing works: subsidy from tax revenue


But why not just direct UBI?

What is the point of tax subsidised lotteries, to enrich a minuscule % of poor people while all the others buy tickets in hope?


As one fair way of allocating insufficient resources. The lottery is evidence a lot of poor people would rather have a chance at radically improving their life than a small amount of money.


Do you have any real evidence that poor people would prefer a 1/300M chance in winning the lottery versus a guaranteed paycheck for their monthly expenses? I would love to see the proof for your assertion.


No, that sounds highly implausible to me. A guaranteed paycheck of $1,000/month to every American (in current USD) would be way better than what I suggested. This idea presumes scarcer resources.

I'm talking about something more like the difference between a 1/10 chance of $1,000/month for a year with a new drawing in a year vs $100/month for a year every year.


Even with those odds, I still don’t believe any poor person would prefer a lottery over guaranteed income. Your scenarios sound like projection/speculation than realistic to me.




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