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Is this going to start changing the world as much as search did? My guess within 10 years AI will have changed everything, it won’t look like AGI but it’ll be good enough to be better than humans at most creative endeavours including things like generating whole films and possibly games with a few carefully arranged text prompts and start images. Quite terrifying.

I wonder if it will be possible to train a neural network to do our programming tasks for us?



Reading about how it's done it's not so clear those other things are close at hand. Most of these SD things generate very low-res images and then use upscaling to make them high enough resolution that they don't look like crap.

Apparently the computational power required to make them larger grows exponentially (or geometrically?) so until we find new algorithms it might be a long time before the same technique can generate whole films and games and any coherent way.

Of course maybe that breakthrough will be announced tomorrow.


Are we sure the rate of improvement in these algorithms won't continue?


No, I don't think so. AI generated art that can fool humans has been around for years (7 years ago: https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/innovation/computer-generates-m...) and it changed very little, nobody listens to robo-Bach.

In art humans always look for novelty and authenticity and not for mechanical reproduction, which quickly becomes generic. When every guy or girl on the planet could create a DeviantArt account and start drawing, did that have an impact on professional art? Not really.

We've increased the total artistic output and reduced cost several magnitudes over through tech, and if anything it's increased the demand for human novelty rather than reduce it. But as soon as the 'AI' label gets slapped on it people start to have weird Terminator fantasies.


IMO math > programming > rest is the order. On proof search there’s a lot of prior-work. Programs are super easy and cheap to verify or simulate/generate. BTW I bet that even if you aren’t using copilot VS Code collects your input as training data. With programs it’s not necessary to understand NL, might as well work as show me example of input->output




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