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Great article. I wish it would answer this question though. If we don't someone else will. How do we prevent that. Getting to Mars seems to be a political goal not a scientific one (for most). If the USA doesn't then China will.


Having China divert hundreds of billions of dollars over several decades to a Mars mission would be a real win for the US and Taiwan.


Betting against other countries' investments in exploration hasn't historically worked out well.


Betting against China going exploring, though, has been a sure thing through most of history.


There's a difference between betting China doesn't go exploring, and betting China isn't successful at exploring.

Historically, they tend to either not make the attempt or go big.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ming_treasure_voyages


Betting upon other countries' excessive interest in tulips has, however!


I'm not sure about that. America similarly diverted billions of dollars to land men on the Moon. It barely made a dent in the balance of the Cold War.


>If we don't someone else will. How do we prevent that.

This thought process alone shows me that we probably aren't even mature enough as a species to go to Mars. A mission like that will likely need global cooperation, effectively dooming it.

If China somehow went to Mars on their own they deserve whatever benefit they were to get from and we shouldn't aim to prevent space exploration because of who does it.


We must not allow a Martian gap!


> How do we prevent that.

why does that need to be prevented?


China doesn't seem to go for the big ticket science projects, although anything can change in the future.



Nobody is going to Mars. Not now, not in 100 years. Unless we invent some kind of teleportation or other sci-fi way of traveling there, it's just never going to take place.

Mars has essentially no energy sources. Everything people need to survive, and return, will have to be pre-stationed there.

If the Chinese all want to move to Mars, fine by me. I don't think it's a solid plan, but they're welcome to try.




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