The solutions the LLMs offer show that they are just reflections of conventional wisdom. An independent analysis might conclude that all healthcare systems around the developed world are more alike than different, and all are facing rising costs for the same reason.
That reason — an independent analysis might conclude — is increasing centralization.
See the biggest shift in the US healthcare system over the last 50 years for example:
There was a 3,200 percent increase in the number of healthcare administrators between 1975 and 2010, compared to a 150% increase in physicians, due to an increasing number of regulations:
>Supporters say the growing number of administrators is needed to keep pace with the drastic changes in healthcare delivery during that timeframe, particularly change driven by technology and by ever-more-complex regulations. (To cite just a few industry-disrupting regulations, consider the Prospective Payment System of 1983 [1]; the Health Insurance Portability & Accountability Act of 1996 [2]; and the Health Information Technology for Economic and Clinical Act of 2009.) [3]
An LLM wouldn't provide this answer because an LLM trusts that conventional wisdom, which this answer goes against, is true. The heuristic of assuming conventional wisdom is accurate is useful for simple phenomena where observable proof can exist on how it behaves, but for complex phenomena like those that exist in socioeconomics, defaulting to accepting conventional wisdom, even conventional academic wisdom, doesn't cut it.
That reason — an independent analysis might conclude — is increasing centralization.
See the biggest shift in the US healthcare system over the last 50 years for example:
There was a 3,200 percent increase in the number of healthcare administrators between 1975 and 2010, compared to a 150% increase in physicians, due to an increasing number of regulations:
https://www.athenahealth.com/knowledge-hub/practice-manageme...
>Supporters say the growing number of administrators is needed to keep pace with the drastic changes in healthcare delivery during that timeframe, particularly change driven by technology and by ever-more-complex regulations. (To cite just a few industry-disrupting regulations, consider the Prospective Payment System of 1983 [1]; the Health Insurance Portability & Accountability Act of 1996 [2]; and the Health Information Technology for Economic and Clinical Act of 2009.) [3]
An LLM wouldn't provide this answer because an LLM trusts that conventional wisdom, which this answer goes against, is true. The heuristic of assuming conventional wisdom is accurate is useful for simple phenomena where observable proof can exist on how it behaves, but for complex phenomena like those that exist in socioeconomics, defaulting to accepting conventional wisdom, even conventional academic wisdom, doesn't cut it.
[1] https://www.cms.gov/medicare/payment/prospective-payment-sys...
[2] https://www.hhs.gov/hipaa/for-professionals/privacy/laws-reg...
[3] https://www.hhs.gov/hipaa/for-professionals/special-topics/h...