Sure, hard to tell either way. That's kinda how bubbles happen in the first place, because if we really knew how valuable something was, it would already have the price to reflect that.
But it's also why Lord Kelvin claimed in 1895 "heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible"* and in 1897 that "radio has no future".
* don't ask me why birds were not a proof by example; we have the same problem today with regards to human brains being proof by example that human level intelligence is possible.
It seems like one of the defining characteristics of a paradigm-shifting technology is that a lot of smart people dismiss it at first. The skepticism and cynicism I see about AI from the HN crowd (of all places) is such a great example. I use AI every day as both a user and developer and it's an incredible gamechanger. It's pretty surprising to me how incurious and conservative many HN commentators appear to be, but maybe it shouldn't. I'm guessing the median age on this site of the active commenters is now in the mid 30s or early 40s.
But it's also why Lord Kelvin claimed in 1895 "heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible"* and in 1897 that "radio has no future".
* don't ask me why birds were not a proof by example; we have the same problem today with regards to human brains being proof by example that human level intelligence is possible.