Nah, it's utter bullshit. Russia can't defeat Ukraine on its own, but they think Russia has a 1 in 3 chance of victory if they add Poland, Baltics, Finland to their war? It's pure wishful nonsense.
First if you want me to continue in this tone you set here do let me know. But you'll ultimately come to regret it.
Second I have friends and product manufacturing in the Baltics, so my opinion is anything but wishful. One thing I can not afford though is your head in the sand optimism.
> One thing I can not afford though is your head in the sand optimism
It's not optimism to be dismissive of opinions with no basis in reality.
Russia cannot defeat Ukraine. If they attack in the Baltic, they'll add at least a few more enemies. It's mathematically impossible for them to fare better with more enemies when their current efforts are suffering due to men and materiel.
Lack of combat experience.
But seriously, very good analysis!