> I guess only people writing code manually will be "frontier".

Personally, I believe that seems almost inevitable. Ever since Sonnet 3.5 came out, my assumption has been that most devs will either need to become largely product people, or find a new career.[0] I mean, most devs have been implementing known patterns most of the time, right? That seems on track to be completely replaced by agentic dev tools, does it not?

The best terms for this new role I can think of are "Product Developer," or "Software Product Developer." This is a product-minded person who is able to create non-frontier software using agentic dev tools.

What I am really curious about is if devs at the frontier will be more, or less likely, to publish their work as open source in the future.

[0] I think there has been a clear divide here in excitement regarding agentic dev tools along these lines. Product-minded devs are really into the new tools. Non-product minded, more code-driven devs seem to be far less excited.

Synthetic data pipelines, which is already in use for like over a year now.